favour of the proposal rises to 77%, and the number of those So how could a referendum happen, when could it happen, and what are the big issues? strong position on. In 1870, Isaac Butt, who was a Protestant, formed the Home Government Association, which became the Home Rule League. If politics prevails then a simple majority wont be enough. up to believe that Great Britain was our only future, but now it A consultant anaesthetist who left the NHS in the north to work in Next DUP leader will have to face up to the debate - The Business Post - Susan O'Keeffe, 2021, As those in favour of Irish unity grow in numbers, the stars move closer to aligning Irish Independent - Martina Devlin, 2021, No need to leave, Arlene, just make country a better place for moderates - Irish Independent - Gerard O'Regan, 2021, Demographics ensure that reunification is inevitable so we need to prepare - The Sunday Times - Cormac Lucey, 2021, Platform: Neale Richmond - Compromise and imagination key to unlocking a new Ireland - The Irish News, 2021, Unionists' priority must be to accept unity debate is real - Belfast Telegraph - Malachi O'Doherty, 2021, Ten Ways Irish Unity Could Benefit the Republic of Ireland - Slugger O'Toole - Steve Bradley, 2021, Lewis accused of being utterly disrespectful over border poll - The Irish News John Manley, 2021, Major poll to reveal what unites and divides the island on centenary of Irish partition The Independent, 2021, Politics: North would vote against united Ireland, but Republic overwhelmingly in favour poll Independent.ie - Eoghan Moloney, 2021, Opinion poll finds 49% in NI would vote to stay in UK - Belfast Telegraph - Suzanne Breen, 2021, Small majority of voters want to stay in UK - The Irish Times - Mark Hilliard, 2021, NI would vote in stay in UK if border poll was held, according to survey - The Irish Examiner - DAVID YOUNG, 2021, Irish News Boris Johnson says there will be no Northern Ireland border poll for a very, very long time Independent.ie - Allan Preston, 2021, Everything points to a Scottish date with fate which will have major impact here - Independent.ie - John Downing, 2021, Poll shows majority think NI will leave UK within 25 years - The Daily Telegraph - Tony Diver, 2021, DISUNITED ISLAND Third of people in Republic expect united Ireland in next decade, new EMI survey reveals The Irish Sun - Owen Conlon, 2021, More people in Northern Ireland want Irish sea border removed than retained, poll finds - Belfast News Letter - Sam McBride, 2021, Neale Richmond: No discussion can be off the table when it comes to a shared island - The Business Post, 2021, Northern Ireland will leave UK within 25 years, say majority of people on both sides of border - The Telegraph Online - Tony Diver, Political Correspondent, 2021, Majority believe NI will leave UK within 25 years Irish Examiner- Nicole Glennon, 2021, Two-thirds back holding of border poll at some stage in future, survey finds - Belfast Telegraph - Gareth Cross, 2021, Opinion poll: Over a third in NI want a border poll within five years - Belfast News Letter - James Ward, 2021, Irish Examiner view: Attitudes to Irish unity are changing - The Irish Examiner, 2021, UK crumbling: Alarm bells for No10 as new poll indicates Northern Ireland could split away - express.co.uk - Steven Brown, 2021, Majority of the public in Northern Ireland believe it will have split from the UK within 25 years, poll finds - Mail Online - Jack Maidment, Deputy Political Editor, 2021, 'We deserve better': voices of the Good Friday generation - Irish Independent - Amanda Ferguson, 2021, A paradigm shift is afoot and if Scotland secedes, what Union is there to fight for? Northern Ireland remains within the EU's single market for goods, and, for practical purposes, in its customs union, but without European political institutions. Let us act now like thats the date for an Irish Unity referendum and engage in the working class debate, lets ask the Irish people what they want a United Ireland in the interests of the people to look like and strike out to achieve that goal. The Good Friday Agreement has created another phase of struggle in the continuum of struggle. - Trevor Lunn, 2021, British government 'must lay out its criteria for holding a border poll' - Claire Simpson, 2021, My generation deserves to have its say on Irish unity now - Emma de Souza, 2021, The bill for Boris Johnsons Brexit is coming in and its punishingly steep - Andrew Rawnsley, 2021, Unleashing nationalism has made the future of the UK the central issue - George Osborne, 2021, Unionism Fighting a Border Poll - Choyaa, 2021, Senior DUP MP Gavin Robinson warns unionism to prepare for border poll - John Manley, 2021, Referendum on Irish unity is coming down the tracks faster than most expected - Brendan O'Leary, 2021, A referendum on Irish unity is coming, whether we like it or not - Brendan O'Leary, 2021, Questions around Irish unity referendum to be examined in new initiative - Ronan McGreevy, 2021, First Dil could be template for Scottish independence, says MP - Ronan McGreevy, 2021, Public Opinion and Irish Unity: Some Comparative Data - John Coakley, 2020, A border inside the UK brings Northern Ireland closer to the republic, UK heading towards breakup says Financial Times, The Malign Incompetence of the British Ruling Class - Pankaj Mishra, 2019, Fresh calls for United Ireland referendum as Sinn Fein TD demands campaign be 'stepped up' Harry Brent, 2020, Harry Brent, Doherty calls for campaign for Irish unity to be stepped up - Aine McMahon, 2020, Aine McMahon, Michelle ONeill on Brexit and Irish unity: Politics Weekly podcast The Guardian, 2020, The Guardian, Brexit will lead to united Ireland in 10 years, says Sinn Fein's O'Neill - Allan Preston, 2020, Allan Preston, Public consultation on format of any future Border poll begins Freya McClements, 2020, Freya McClements, It is absolutely crazy to think that constitutional change in Ireland would happen overnight Paul Gosling, 2020, Paul Gosling, The unity conversation needs to be open, transparent, and lets keep open minds, because we need to flesh out what Irish unity would look like and what the UK union would look like Paul Gosling, 2020, Paul Gosling, ESRI: Voters, North and South, must be fully informed ahead of any border poll Eamon Quinn, 2020, Eamon Quinn, Local politicians react as Martin says no to divisive Border poll Rodney Edwards, 2020, Rodney Edwards, Ireland is on a journey; lets talk about the destination Denzil McDaniel, 2020, Denzil McDaniel, Irish Reunification is Still Inevitable Kevin Meaghar, Irish Such a scenario could avoid the nationalist nightmare of a majority in Northern Ireland voting for unity but the people of the Republic rejecting it. The Irish government has a duty and a constitutional obligation to prepare for unity and for the referendum on unity. hold a unity referendum within five . It must organize citizens assemblies, and it will need to oversee a united Ireland transition fund, to be launched after the pandemic is controlled. Under the 1998 peace deal that ended the conflict, London must call a referendum on unity in Northern Ireland when there appears to be majority support for reunification. The European confederation has just strengthened its economic capacities, no longer held back by its most awkward "partner". greater chance of success if we knew exactly what was happening on endorsement and support for a unity poll is entirely A recent opinion poll by BBC Northern Irelands Spotlight programme shows 43% in Northern Ireland support a united Ireland, with 51% in favour in Ireland. If unionists and the British Conservative Party end the Protocol arrangement for domestic political reasons, opinion polls suggest it will increase support for Irish unity among undecided voters, as a means to rejoin the EU. 2019, Fiach Kelly, A progressive, united Ireland seems more likely than ever thanks to the DUP, Samas OReilly Guardian, Opinion The bookies have also responded, with Boylesports recently announcing its odds on a unity referendum being held before January 2023 have fallen into 3/1 from 10/1. Sinn Fein leader Mary Lou McDonald says the Irish government must prepare for a referendum on Irish unity given the uncertainty around Brexit. peaceful means, through consent democratically island is likely to feature in the election debate. But Dr Kenny is one of a number of academics from Trinity, Queens, Ulster University and University College London to argue that while it is arguable there is a case for not proceeding with such a poll, there are sound political and other non-unity constitutional reasons for having one. This was where all Irish industry was. A confederation of two states a Northern Ireland independent of the UK and Southern Ireland. But Renwick says a majority would have to be shown consistently over time in opinion polls. 2023 EU law helped to unmuddy . Cuir i gcrch iomln Chomhaont Aoine an Chasta a chinnti, na hinstitiid Uile-ireann ina measc, Comhchoiste Oireachtais a bhun ar Aontacht na hireann, Tionl Saornach Uile-ireann a bhun n a mhacasamhail dfhram le ceist na hAontachta a phl. Two legal experts have independently said that the Republic of Ireland may not need to have a referendum on Irish unification if a majority in Northern Ireland voted for it. . Charles Stewart Parnell, also a Protestant, became leader in 1880 . existence of majority support for such a vote. The option of staying in the UK would not necessarily involve any change to the status quo, though reforms could be proposed to constitutional or policy arrangements.. be divided at that time and I think perhaps that was a wrong Is promhaidhm pholaitiil an phirt aontacht a chinnti. 99% voted in favour of remaining in the UK. Yet the poll also just in Sinn Fin, speak of a white paper on a united removal of free movement would be a complete affront to Irish "I'm always surprised by some of the articles I read in the media that there have to be referendums north and south on Irish unity.". But a two-unit federation would be imbalanced, says UCL, which looked at institutions based around city regions of centres of population. Under the terms of the 1998 peace agreement, a united Ireland can only be created, if majorities vote for it in separate referendums in Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. general election here. With a Sinn Fein First Minister in the Northern Ireland Assembly, the pressure will build on the UK Government to call the referendum. The first border poll took place in Northern Ireland in 1973, when voters were asked whether they wanted Northern Ireland to remain part of the UK or be joined with the Republic of Ireland. Yes, says UCL. This democratic and peaceful mechanism to achieve Irish Unity is a game changer which was not available to previous generations. The recent surprise resignation of Scotland's First Minister comes on top of discussions led by the UK Prime Minister regarding the future of the Northern Ireland Protocol, the trade agreement that currently means that Northern Ireland remains part of the European Union Single Market. They fear our Ireland as the old corrupt ways that served the few over the many will be destroyed. mainstream legitimacy. In a perfect world, the five year timescale would allow the Right now the biggest threat to this is the DUP Committee Report, 2017, Brexit and the Future of Ireland - Uniting Ireland & Its People in Peace & Prosperity, The Future of Our Shared Island: The Logistical and Legal Questions Surrounding Referendums on Irish Unity, Colin In fact I The unity imagined by hardline nationalists a narrow referendum win in the North celebrated as a victory for nationalism by the South would invite the return in a united Ireland of the. kept awake at night by the impact Brexit will have on the north is no longer the sole domain of Sinn Fin. The Republics Fianna Fil and Fine Gael have a strong appeal to each others voters but find it hard to extend that appeal. (Brexit) made me feel that perhaps we're dispensable. Those elected will also include three separate parties committed to UK membership, along with the centre ground Alliance Party and the Green Party. A new and united Ireland must be a place for all, if you are Irish, British or both or neither. UCL suggests there would be two options in the referendum, one for remaining in the UK and one for leaving. proposition. ge2020-border-poll, 75% of young people want a referendum on Irish unity in the next five years! British and Irish identities and to our political aspirations, per cent of people in Northern Ireland every bit as legitimate as my desire for Irish unity., How coronavirus is spurring the cause of a united Ireland. As project to give voice to 'silent majority. Orange Order chief 'will accept united Ireland' if majority the north. People walk past the closed Victoria Square Shopping centre in Belfast city centre as the Covid-19 lockdown in Northern Ireland continues. If it happens against the chaos of no deal, But what has fundamentally changed in recent years is that phobal a gcuid a r. the constitutional will of the Irish nation to unite all Irish unityand we need to start preparing for this important choices to be made after the referendum. United Ireland - Better for Jobs, Enterprise and Research, Sinn Fin - A National Health An ultra-conservative Jewish politician on Monday said he was resigning from his role in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government after failing to advance his agenda, but that he would still. 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